Creampuff 22,628 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Rfc52 said: It's the same as racing. For example if Paul Nicholls runs a horse in a shite handicap at market rasen on a Tuesday his horse will usually go off at a ridiculously short price because they know people will want to back a big powerful stable against loads of smaller ones. The horse ends up artificially short and when it gets humped the bookies are quids in. That’s pretty much how racing works tbh. Price up the market at say 95% (giving the bookie a notional 5% profit assuming stakes are level across all selections), then take points on and off each horse until you’ve reflected how you think bets will come. Short-priced favs from good stables normally do win shit races, but stacking on a 1/6 shot with an average record is a bookies wet dream. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Hilts 12,819 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 1-0 would do. 2 or 3-0 would be superb. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
born a blue nose 90,722 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 the bookie showed us on his computer in Ayr once how it all works and how they never actually lose money. fucked if I can remember though I was walking aboot like a melted mars bar by 2pm lol Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
joze 0 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 8 minutes ago, Creampuff said: I’m actually very confident for tonight. I’m not convinced Maribor will be better than Osijek at all. Croatian league is surely of a much higher standard than the Slovenian league. They weren’t great when we last played them, and haven’t had wonderful results thus far. Croatian league is similar to the Slovenian one, maybe a bit better. But us (maribor) and Dinamo ZG (and maybe Rijeka in Cro) stand out from both leagues. We weren't great when we last played you, I agree. It was enough to relegate you. But what results have you been checking btw? Because we had 3 EL groups stages (and 1 1/16 with later winner Sevilla) and 2 CL groups stages since then. We are better than Osijek. Probably not that much, but we are better. What is more important, our players are much much much more expirienced in Europe. Our captain probably has more Euro goals than your whole team (and Osijek team too) has Euro games. It will be a close tie in 2 legs. I'm guessing this won't be decided by more than a goal margin (I'd say 2:1 in aggregate or similar). Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigsasasfloppyhair 13,310 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 Been saying 2-0 all week. Going to bet it. Fancy Morelos and Kent to score Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrMckee 3,420 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 If we don't concede it will be a good result but if we can take a 1-0 over there that would be ideal a 2-0 and I think we will be pretty much through Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
giffnockger 4,840 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 Thursday is finally here (thought I wasn't gona make after how I felt on Monday aha) need a good solid performance against tonight! Up the volunteers Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
RFC RYAN 2,967 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 Is Flannigan suspended ? Seen someone tweet it the other day but haven’t heard anything. Noticed we were training last night as well: Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Misteral 2,932 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 41 minutes ago, Creampuff said: That’s pretty much how racing works tbh. Price up the market at say 95% (giving the bookie a notional 5% profit assuming stakes are level across all selections), then take points on and off each horse until you’ve reflected how you think bets will come. Short-priced favs from good stables normally do win shit races, but stacking on a 1/6 shot with an average record is a bookies wet dream. Not quite. 95% would be a notional 5% loss (overbroke). Pricing up at 105% (overround) would give the notional 5% profit. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Basrah Bear 2,981 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 42 minutes ago, joze said: Croatian league is similar to the Slovenian one, maybe a bit better. But us (maribor) and Dinamo ZG (and maybe Rijeka in Cro) stand out from both leagues. We weren't great when we last played you, I agree. It was enough to relegate you. But what results have you been checking btw? Because we had 3 EL groups stages (and 1 1/16 with later winner Sevilla) and 2 CL groups stages since then. We are better than Osijek. Probably not that much, but we are better. What is more important, our players are much much much more expirienced in Europe. Our captain probably has more Euro goals than your whole team (and Osijek team too) has Euro games. It will be a close tie in 2 legs. I'm guessing this won't be decided by more than a goal margin (I'd say 2:1 in aggregate or similar). welcome mate. Do use the codex as well? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
graeme_4 34,376 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 Bit of a nervous Norris about tonight. Wouldnt be surprised if we lost by a couple of goals, but equally wouldn’t be that shocked if we battered them. Difficult to know where we actually are as a team when we’re playing unknown quantities in Europe and with 10 men in our only league game. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amato 3,016 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 1 hour ago, Creampuff said: I’m actually very confident for tonight. I’m not convinced Maribor will be better than Osijek at all. Croatian league is surely of a much higher standard than the Slovenian league. They weren’t great when we last played them, and haven’t had wonderful results thus far. My initial reaction too, but having looked into it Maribor have had some very strong performances in Europe. Certain this will be our toughest test yet Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigsasasfloppyhair 13,310 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 21 minutes ago, Basrah Bear said: welcome mate. Do use the codex as well? The first rule of codex is you don’t speak about the codex Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
J_RFC87 761 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 Is Barisic cup tied for the whole tournament ? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The No.9 760 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 Thinking I will be another tight one tonight a 1-0 or 1-1 but hopefully wee click and capitalise on some mistakes and get a clear 2/3 goal lead. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooperSF 5,792 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Jadams said: Is Barisic cup tied for the whole tournament ? Available from group stages. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
rangersross 6,530 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, Jadams said: Is Barisic cup tied for the whole tournament ? Eligible if/when we reaches the group stages. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheQueensEleven 1,355 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 1 hour ago, joze said: Croatian league is similar to the Slovenian one, maybe a bit better. But us (maribor) and Dinamo ZG (and maybe Rijeka in Cro) stand out from both leagues. We weren't great when we last played you, I agree. It was enough to relegate you. But what results have you been checking btw? Because we had 3 EL groups stages (and 1 1/16 with later winner Sevilla) and 2 CL groups stages since then. We are better than Osijek. Probably not that much, but we are better. What is more important, our players are much much much more expirienced in Europe. Our captain probably has more Euro goals than your whole team (and Osijek team too) has Euro games. It will be a close tie in 2 legs. I'm guessing this won't be decided by more than a goal margin (I'd say 2:1 in aggregate or similar). Except our keeper alone has played about double the games in Europe as Tavares has goals scored in Europe. Half of those appearances coming in the Champions League ? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
joze 0 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 forgot about your keeper. ? excluding him, my statement still (kind of) stands. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
RFC55 108,733 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, joze said: forgot about your keeper. ? excluding him, my statement still (kind of) stands. Yous confident for the night? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
RFC RYAN 2,967 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, joze said: forgot about your keeper. ? excluding him, my statement still (kind of) stands. What formation do you usually play and where is your weak link ? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Specky Forum Organiser 64,478 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 Location:slo Sly bastard @The Louden Tavern making your return like that Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oz 37 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 I need to pick up a ticket for my mate at the ticket office. Does anyone know if I need to do this before 5pm or will ticket office open tonight until the match starts ? cant get through on phone lines.... Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
RFC RYAN 2,967 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Oz said: I need to pick up a ticket for my mate at the ticket office. Does anyone know if I need to do this before 5pm or will ticket office open tonight until the match starts ? cant get through on phone lines.... You pre booked it ? If so it will be open till kick off but the queue will be mad so if you can get over during the day I would do that. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
carrickblue 322 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 very hard to judge what sort of side Maribor will be but in their early games of this new season they haven't conceded many goals Sun22/07/18 1.SRudar 0 - 5Maribor Thu26/07/18 UEL Chikhura 0 - 0 Maribor Sun29/07/18 1.SMaribor0 - 0 Mura Thu02/08/18 UELMaribor 2 - 0 Chikhura Sun05/08/18 1.SAluminij 2 - 5 Maribor Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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