THE_Ibrox_Preacher

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5.05 Goodwood. Brutal of me I know but there is 4 standouts here. Storm Flower and Chandresh have the best times post (adjusting a 6f to a 5f) in their last races. Miss Phillyjinks is a second off them however this time was posted at kempton and you'd assume you could shave a second off on better ground?!?! Silver Wings, next best time BUT is down 19 in mark from posting that time! SOoooooo what to pick Well IF running to it's best Silver Wings is in contention off that mark. Chandresh is basically identical to Storm Flower so perhaps you'd favour Storm Flower as it ran recently to post it's contention time; Chandresh has a top jockey though and Storm Flower has seen usual jockey Carson ride Deer Song today leaving a less successful of late Liam Jones to ride. Phillyjinks has a time that should transfer well on to a faster surface however that's maybe the issue in this case, past races have favoured slower ground than todays; Top jockey though. It's a toughy but I think it's a toss up between Phillyjinks (12-1) and Chandresh (11-1), I'll rule out Storm Flower (12-1) purely on the the uninspiring jockey choice, Silver Wings is the E/W angle (12-1). Edit - Pumped.

Had a look through the 4.10 Carlisle today. Breakable and Renfrew Street on best times and factoring in today's weights - I can't separate them, Breakable does have a split second advantage and has run well on return; Renfrew Street has a possible minus being the return from the break and the draw however it's best time is at most a second behind Breakable and that was on Kempton's slow all weather which I assume will see that time difference erased on today's Gd/Frm (Breakables best time was on similar going as today and eased off maybe a little earlier than Renfrew Street on setting that time). It's a toss up for win purposes on paper and a reverse forecast should be considered in my opinion. Everything else either doesn't have a time to touch them or is in theory pushed out of the business end by weights/ground/distance. There is however one exception; Alexandrakollontai, who in theory has a winning time and is favoured in the weights, everything else is good, only slight niggles are the draw as with Renfrew Street and the form being very hit and miss. Purely on ability compared to this field it should not be 20-1, it's as simple as that; that doesn't mean it won't trail out the back like loo-roll stuck to the heel of a shoe but if it turns up in form today it'll battle it out at the finish for 1st nevermind the places. SO selections; For win purpose toss a coin between Breakable (11-2) and Renfrew Street (8-1), Consider reverse forecast. You are either going for slightly better time and known fitness of Breakable or you are assuming that transferring from Kemptons slower all weather to today's quicker surface will see a returning Renfrew Street run home in front. Reverse forecast worth considering. If you like to live life on the edge and like a place to return 4-1 then E/W on Alexandrakollontai (20-1) is a good bet, who know's it might just turn up to win today and as I said it's capable on best form! If I said anything outright i'd be insinuating an advantage on paper that simply isn't there, the others aren't exactly mugs in this race but don't touch these on paper all factors considered! EDIT 4.14 RESULT 1st Desert Haze (2-1) 2nd Fidelma Moon (12-1) 3rd Alexandrakollontai (22-1)

I'll perhaps do a little research and post my thoughts for you however I'm the first to say I'm hit and miss. IF I do so I'll give you a level of detail beyond the horses name, that way you have a few talking points that could make socialising easier or that draw in some better info from someone wiser than I. Horses are a steep learning curve as you can appreciate, on the course though you do get the chance to see the horses prior to the race, hear the odd course whisper, spot trainers and owners arriving expecting a show etc. etc. Of course it helps to know what to look for, what to take note of and who to look out for. The main thing is to enjoy the day out as these tend to be good fun, just don't shag your joint account while you're at it!

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2.00 Ayr Times wise the best 4 are; Poolstock 1m11.5secs Spoken words 1m13secs Sea of Green 1m14seconds Hab Reeh 1m14seconds Poolstock could be a clear winner or do bugger all, it doesn't really turn up at the price it's at today and the time I found for it was some time ago (you can consider it highly risky or overdue). Spoken words has a habit of doing things at big prices but E/W is the safest option OR betting hd2hd OR betting without Captain Joey & Poolstock (you get the picture, seriously worth considering but not for the straight out win unless insured maybe). Sea of Green has a lot of plus points but is yet to win and has been off the track for about 220 days (if there's been improvement then it should only have to worry about poolstock and spoken words) - this one should have a go but does have a habit of finding somewhere out the back and thus should perhaps be considered in an insurance bet 3 places or in a reverse forecast). Hab Reeh - has better times but for conditions this one should be an E/W consideration, a major plus you would assume is this one has been with it's jockey more times than the others. I have tried to factor in everything but I've avoided talking about jockeys/and trainers to try and be more brief. I think a reverse forecast out of those 4 is worth a shout, I think Sea of Green as an insurance bet 3 places is fairly safe and as a E/W spoken words has plus points, or, as mentioned say e/w without PoolStock. I'd like to be more precise but even Alba Dawn and Mystical King have plus points - I've narrowed it down as far as I can be comfortable with the information in front of me - the ultimate decisions are yours. EDIT 2.06pm RESULT 1st) Hab Reeh 9-1 (12-1 when posted by me) 2nd) Poolstock 4-1 (9-2 when posted) 3rd) Spoken words 20-1 (was 25's when I posted)

I don't know much about horse racing bar what I've taught myself, I don't keep notes or anything as I don't know much about that side of things; the two I expect to do something on reappearance is Typical Oscar and Abundantly, Typical Oscar pulled up in 23f handicap chase @ 5-1, Moorlands George was incorrectly a 5/2 favourite and in the end Urban Gale and Kilascan took first and second; Typical Oscar should have beaten them two but didn't turn up, Abundantly however should absolutely have won and could have won if the Jockey hadn't been told to run it into the ground, he had a mare of a time trying to knacker it in a field he could have left trailing, running it through foot deep surface water n' shit trying desperately to slow it down (my view). Hopefully those two noticings on my part will do someone some good because I sure as fuck don't benefit from this game, I die on my arse, make a great come back and at the point I'm verging on great success I'm cleaned out by next to fuck all.

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If Hibs win the final and invade the pitch it will have a line drawn GENERALLY under it saying something like "A magnificent day for Scottish football and this Leith support". For us however we have to view a pitch invasion as being like Crystal Meth i.e. NOT EVEN ONCE! There's no fucking debate to be had, we have been getting targeted, fined and punished for years on the grounds of 'unacceptable behaviour' (not entirely outwith our own making) and a pitch invasion by our support would demand an increased punishment levied at us regardless of the lacking consistency on these matters when other clubs fall foul of the same rules. Hump them, avoid dodgy songs/lyrics, don't invade the pitch and repeat with them and everyone else in this country and we get all the joy with none of the detracting grief! It's not rocket science however galling it may be to know it's one rule for others and one rule for us.

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